YEARLY HIGH
20.1342 JPY
YEARLY LOW
18.9602 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
19.6994 JPY

2026 MOP to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 20.1342. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 18.9602.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1740 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.5206 to the December average rate of 20.0415, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 20.1342 was up 1.96% compared to the 2025 peak of 19.7468, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 100,671 JPY
2025 Average 93,205 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 94,801 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,869.94 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

20.1182
19.1970
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.6424, compared to 20.0415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3991 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.6424
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.0415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.8051 JPY (High: 19.8072 / Low: 19.0021). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1450 JPY (High: 20.1342 / Low: 19.9892).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8051
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1450

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2468 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2468

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 20.0415) against the same month in 2025 (average: 18.1925), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8490 (+10.16%).

2026 Avg (July) 20.0415
2025 Avg (July) 18.1925

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.8072 19.0021 19.5206
February 19.5998 18.9602 19.2738
March 19.9308 19.4674 19.7064
April 19.8442 19.6339 19.7423
May 19.7687 19.4412 19.6965
June 20.1029 19.7608 19.9149
July 20.1342 19.9892 20.0415