YEARLY HIGH
1.1522 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.1049 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1300 DJF

2026 ETB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ETB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 26, valuing the pair at 1.1522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 1.1049.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0473 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1434 to the December average rate of 1.1097, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.1522 was down 18.98% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.4221, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,761 DJF
2025 Average 6,430 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 5,524 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 236.68 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.1491
1.1061
JanuMarcMayJuly

ETB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1334, compared to 1.1097 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0237 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1334
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1097

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was May, with a trading range of 0.0259 DJF (High: 1.1339 / Low: 1.1081). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 DJF (High: 1.1120 / Low: 1.1073).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0259
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0191 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0191

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 1.1411) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.3669), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2258 (-16.52%).

2026 Avg (March) 1.1411
2025 Avg (March) 1.3669

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1480 1.1346 1.1434
February 1.1506 1.1382 1.1455
March 1.1522 1.1299 1.1411
April 1.1457 1.1298 1.1375
May 1.1339 1.1081 1.1185
June 1.1297 1.1049 1.1142
July 1.1120 1.1073 1.1097